Model line
East Tennessee St. −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
East Tennessee St. 57%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
The Citadel home
57%Win probability43%
The model makes East Tennessee St. a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
East Tennessee St. offense vs The Citadel defense
| East Tennessee St. O | Stat | The Citadel D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#266 | Tempo | #33464.8 |
| 55.3#34 | eFG% | #36157.5 |
| 15.2#79 | TOV% | #31114.7 |
| 28.3#253 | ORB% | #22831.5 |
| 35.0#179 | FT rate | #13533.3 |
| 7.5#28 | Block% | #2737.8 |
| 50.8#224 | Assist% | #17552.2 |
| 57.2#28 | 2P% | #36359.6 |
| 34.7#135 | 3P% | #33536.6 |
| 74.7#93 | FT% | — |
| 37.8#216 | 3PA rate | #4444.1 |
The Citadel offense vs East Tennessee St. defense
| The Citadel O | Stat | East Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8#334 | Tempo | #26666.5 |
| 49.5#269 | eFG% | #15751.0 |
| 16.3#157 | TOV% | #7118.5 |
| 27.9#272 | ORB% | #6427.9 |
| 30.0#312 | FT rate | #22436.4 |
| 10.7#288 | Block% | #6511.5 |
| 50.6#231 | Assist% | #25855.2 |
| 51.0#214 | 2P% | #22252.6 |
| 32.0#282 | 3P% | #11132.9 |
| 66.5#349 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#27 | 3PA rate | #847.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
East Tennessee St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Furman147 | L 61–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Western Carolina184 | W 69–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | The Citadel325 | W 83–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mercer227 | L 76–82 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wofford276 | L 69–72 |
The Citadel
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 76–83 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Chattanooga274 | W 88–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wofford276 | W 93–90 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Furman147 | L 51–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Chattanooga274 | L 72–93 |
