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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Western Carolina · #184 · SC · 0–0East Tennessee St. · #175 · SC · 0–0Sat, Jan 9 · 4:00 PM ETFreedom Hall (TN) · Johnson City, TN
Model line
East Tennessee St. −8.0
Win probability
East Tennessee St. 80%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
East Tennessee St. home
20%Win probability80%

The model makes East Tennessee St. a 8.0-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Western Carolina offense vs East Tennessee St. defense

Western Carolina OStatEast Tennessee St. D
68.8#162Tempo#26666.5
50.4#225eFG%#15751.0
16.8#189TOV%#7118.5
35.4#39ORB%#6427.9
31.3#275FT rate#22436.4
7.7#46Block%#6511.5
44.3#344Assist%#25855.2
50.6#2322P%#22252.6
33.5#1973P%#11132.9
71.4#228FT%—
40.9#1493PA rate#847.7

East Tennessee St. offense vs Western Carolina defense

East Tennessee St. OStatWestern Carolina D
66.5#266Tempo#16268.8
55.3#34eFG%#32854.9
15.2#79TOV%#32314.5
28.3#253ORB%#2326.3
35.0#179FT rate#25737.8
7.5#28Block%#3047.3
50.8#224Assist%#7048.1
57.2#282P%#30754.8
34.7#1353P%#33836.7
74.7#93FT%—
37.8#2163PA rate#5143.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Western Carolina

Sun, Mar 8NEast Tennessee St.175L 67–69
Sat, Mar 7NMercer227W 77–73
Sat, Feb 28HFurman147W 86–67
Wed, Feb 25HMercer227W 78–74
Sat, Feb 21AVMI344W 81–62

East Tennessee St.

Mon, Mar 9NFurman147L 61–76
Sun, Mar 8NWestern Carolina184W 69–67
Sat, Mar 7NThe Citadel325W 83–76
Sat, Feb 28AMercer227L 76–82
Wed, Feb 25HWofford276L 69–72