Model line
The Citadel −3.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
The Citadel 62%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
The Citadel home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes The Citadel a 3.0-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chattanooga offense vs The Citadel defense
| Chattanooga O | Stat | The Citadel D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#218 | Tempo | #33464.8 |
| 54.2#60 | eFG% | #36157.5 |
| 14.4#37 | TOV% | #31114.7 |
| 21.8#357 | ORB% | #22831.5 |
| 29.7#317 | FT rate | #13533.3 |
| 7.7#37 | Block% | #2737.8 |
| 55.6#97 | Assist% | #17552.2 |
| 55.8#45 | 2P% | #36359.6 |
| 35.0#112 | 3P% | #33536.6 |
| 77.4#26 | FT% | — |
| 49.2#18 | 3PA rate | #4444.1 |
The Citadel offense vs Chattanooga defense
| The Citadel O | Stat | Chattanooga D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8#334 | Tempo | #21867.6 |
| 49.5#269 | eFG% | #19451.7 |
| 16.3#157 | TOV% | #35013.2 |
| 27.9#272 | ORB% | #23931.7 |
| 30.0#312 | FT rate | #33242.6 |
| 10.7#288 | Block% | #2817.6 |
| 50.6#231 | Assist% | #20853.3 |
| 51.0#214 | 2P% | #19952.1 |
| 32.0#282 | 3P% | #19534.2 |
| 66.5#349 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#27 | 3PA rate | #4144.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chattanooga
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | The Citadel325 | L 85–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | VMI344 | W 86–79 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | L 80–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | The Citadel325 | W 93–72 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Mercer227 | W 94–90 |
The Citadel
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 76–83 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Chattanooga274 | W 88–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wofford276 | W 93–90 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Furman147 | L 51–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Chattanooga274 | L 72–93 |
