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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Western Illinois · #363 · OVC · 0–0Tennessee Martin · #312 · OVC · 0–0Thu, Feb 4 · 9:00 PM ETKathleen and Tom Elam Center · Martin, TN
Model line
Tennessee Martin −13.4
Win probability
Tennessee Martin 92%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Tennessee Martin home
8%Win probability92%

The model makes Tennessee Martin a 13.4-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Western Illinois offense vs Tennessee Martin defense

Western Illinois OStatTennessee Martin D
67.3#233Tempo#29966.0
44.5#361eFG%#1346.1
17.5#240TOV%#2420.0
27.0#297ORB%#25932.0
37.7#111FT rate#20735.8
11.1#311Block%#4612.3
37.0#365Assist%#21453.4
43.5#3612P%#2546.7
30.9#3243P%#1030.2
66.2#352FT%—
33.3#3123PA rate#18439.5

Tennessee Martin offense vs Western Illinois defense

Tennessee Martin OStatWestern Illinois D
66.0#299Tempo#23367.3
48.7#298eFG%#30654.2
21.4#358TOV%#30114.9
37.0#18ORB%#33534.8
37.4#120FT rate#17334.8
10.9#295Block%#3555.2
56.2#85Assist%#11249.9
51.5#1942P%#30354.6
30.3#3393P%#29135.6
67.7#330FT%—
47.1#323PA rate#32534.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Western Illinois

Sat, Feb 28HLindenwood303L 69–91
Thu, Feb 26ASIU Edwardsville281L 47–67
Sat, Feb 21HMorehead St.329L 59–81
Thu, Feb 19HSouthern Indiana324L 70–77
Thu, Feb 12HLittle Rock219L 58–77

Tennessee Martin

Fri, Mar 6NTennessee St.204L 55–68
Thu, Mar 5NEastern Illinois358W 66–63
Sat, Feb 28HTennessee St.204L 42–67
Thu, Feb 26HTennessee Tech226W 64–49
Thu, Feb 19ALittle Rock219L 65–67