Model line
Western Illinois −1.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Illinois 56%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Western Illinois home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Western Illinois a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee Martin offense vs Western Illinois defense
| Tennessee Martin O | Stat | Western Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#299 | Tempo | #23367.3 |
| 48.7#298 | eFG% | #30654.2 |
| 21.4#358 | TOV% | #30114.9 |
| 37.0#18 | ORB% | #33534.8 |
| 37.4#120 | FT rate | #17334.8 |
| 10.9#295 | Block% | #3555.2 |
| 56.2#85 | Assist% | #11249.9 |
| 51.5#194 | 2P% | #30354.6 |
| 30.3#339 | 3P% | #29135.6 |
| 67.7#330 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#32 | 3PA rate | #32534.6 |
Western Illinois offense vs Tennessee Martin defense
| Western Illinois O | Stat | Tennessee Martin D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#233 | Tempo | #29966.0 |
| 44.5#361 | eFG% | #1346.1 |
| 17.5#240 | TOV% | #2420.0 |
| 27.0#297 | ORB% | #25932.0 |
| 37.7#111 | FT rate | #20735.8 |
| 11.1#311 | Block% | #4612.3 |
| 37.0#365 | Assist% | #21453.4 |
| 43.5#361 | 2P% | #2546.7 |
| 30.9#324 | 3P% | #1030.2 |
| 66.2#352 | FT% | — |
| 33.3#312 | 3PA rate | #18439.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee Martin
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 55–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Eastern Illinois358 | W 66–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 42–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 64–49 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Little Rock219 | L 65–67 |
Western Illinois
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lindenwood303 | L 69–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 47–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 59–81 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 70–77 |
| Thu, Feb 12 | H | Little Rock219 | L 58–77 |
