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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tennessee St. · #204 · OVC · 0–1Tennessee Martin · #312 · OVC · 0–0Thu, Feb 25 · 9:00 PM ETKathleen and Tom Elam Center · Martin, TN
Model line
Tennessee Martin −1.1
Win probability
Tennessee Martin 55%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Tennessee Martin home
45%Win probability55%

The model makes Tennessee Martin a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tennessee St. offense vs Tennessee Martin defense

Tennessee St. OStatTennessee Martin D
70.8#62Tempo#29966.0
50.0#236eFG%#1346.1
16.7#180TOV%#2420.0
34.8#53ORB%#25932.0
33.4#227FT rate#20735.8
7.7#43Block%#4612.3
45.5#327Assist%#21453.4
50.0#2552P%#2546.7
33.3#2133P%#1030.2
76.0#52FT%—
30.7#3453PA rate#18439.5

Tennessee Martin offense vs Tennessee St. defense

Tennessee Martin OStatTennessee St. D
66.0#299Tempo#6270.8
48.7#298eFG%#19351.6
21.4#358TOV%#2919.8
37.0#18ORB%#18730.6
37.4#120FT rate#31741.4
10.9#295Block%#11710.5
56.2#85Assist%#12150.3
51.5#1942P%#19552.0
30.3#3393P%#18534.0
67.7#330FT%—
47.1#323PA rate#29135.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tennessee St.

Mon, Nov 2NMurray St.97L 64–94
Fri, Mar 20NIowa St.6L 74–108
Sat, Mar 7NMorehead St.329W 93–67
Fri, Mar 6NTennessee Martin312W 68–55
Sat, Feb 28ATennessee Martin312W 67–42

Tennessee Martin

Fri, Mar 6NTennessee St.204L 55–68
Thu, Mar 5NEastern Illinois358W 66–63
Sat, Feb 28HTennessee St.204L 42–67
Thu, Feb 26HTennessee Tech226W 64–49
Thu, Feb 19ALittle Rock219L 65–67