Model line
Tennessee St. −12.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee St. 91%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Tennessee St. home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Tennessee St. a 12.8-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee Martin offense vs Tennessee St. defense
| Tennessee Martin O | Stat | Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#299 | Tempo | #6270.8 |
| 48.7#298 | eFG% | #19351.6 |
| 21.4#358 | TOV% | #2919.8 |
| 37.0#18 | ORB% | #18730.6 |
| 37.4#120 | FT rate | #31741.4 |
| 10.9#295 | Block% | #11710.5 |
| 56.2#85 | Assist% | #12150.3 |
| 51.5#194 | 2P% | #19552.0 |
| 30.3#339 | 3P% | #18534.0 |
| 67.7#330 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#32 | 3PA rate | #29135.9 |
Tennessee St. offense vs Tennessee Martin defense
| Tennessee St. O | Stat | Tennessee Martin D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#62 | Tempo | #29966.0 |
| 50.0#236 | eFG% | #1346.1 |
| 16.7#180 | TOV% | #2420.0 |
| 34.8#53 | ORB% | #25932.0 |
| 33.4#227 | FT rate | #20735.8 |
| 7.7#43 | Block% | #4612.3 |
| 45.5#327 | Assist% | #21453.4 |
| 50.0#255 | 2P% | #2546.7 |
| 33.3#213 | 3P% | #1030.2 |
| 76.0#52 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#345 | 3PA rate | #18439.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee Martin
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 55–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Eastern Illinois358 | W 66–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 42–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 64–49 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Little Rock219 | L 65–67 |
Tennessee St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Murray St.97 | L 64–94 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Morehead St.329 | W 93–67 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee Martin312 | W 68–55 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–42 |
