Model line
Tennessee St. −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee St. 73%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Western Illinois home
73%Win probability27%
The model makes Tennessee St. a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee St. offense vs Western Illinois defense
| Tennessee St. O | Stat | Western Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#62 | Tempo | #23367.3 |
| 50.0#236 | eFG% | #30654.2 |
| 16.7#180 | TOV% | #30114.9 |
| 34.8#53 | ORB% | #33534.8 |
| 33.4#227 | FT rate | #17334.8 |
| 7.7#43 | Block% | #3555.2 |
| 45.5#327 | Assist% | #11249.9 |
| 50.0#255 | 2P% | #30354.6 |
| 33.3#213 | 3P% | #29135.6 |
| 76.0#52 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#345 | 3PA rate | #32534.6 |
Western Illinois offense vs Tennessee St. defense
| Western Illinois O | Stat | Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#233 | Tempo | #6270.8 |
| 44.5#361 | eFG% | #19351.6 |
| 17.5#240 | TOV% | #2919.8 |
| 27.0#297 | ORB% | #18730.6 |
| 37.7#111 | FT rate | #31741.4 |
| 11.1#311 | Block% | #11710.5 |
| 37.0#365 | Assist% | #12150.3 |
| 43.5#361 | 2P% | #19552.0 |
| 30.9#324 | 3P% | #18534.0 |
| 66.2#352 | FT% | — |
| 33.3#312 | 3PA rate | #29135.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Murray St.97 | L 64–94 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Morehead St.329 | W 93–67 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee Martin312 | W 68–55 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–42 |
Western Illinois
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lindenwood303 | L 69–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 47–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 59–81 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 70–77 |
| Thu, Feb 12 | H | Little Rock219 | L 58–77 |
