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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tennessee St. · #204 · OVC · 0–1Florida A&M · #317 · SWAC · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 6:00 PM ETESPN+CareFirst Arena · Washington, DC
Model line
Tennessee St. −5.7
Win probability
Tennessee St. 73%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
73%Win probability27%

The model makes Tennessee St. a 5.7-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tennessee St. offense vs Florida A&M defense

Tennessee St. OStatFlorida A&M D
70.8#62Tempo#8070.3
50.0#236eFG%#16851.2
16.7#180TOV%#4319.1
34.8#53ORB%#19530.9
33.4#227FT rate#29839.6
7.7#43Block%#2518.1
45.5#327Assist%#10349.7
50.0#2552P%#12050.6
33.3#2133P%#24034.9
76.0#52FT%—
30.7#3453PA rate#32734.4

Florida A&M offense vs Tennessee St. defense

Florida A&M OStatTennessee St. D
70.3#80Tempo#6270.8
49.2#282eFG%#19351.6
21.5#359TOV%#2919.8
30.9#169ORB%#18730.6
37.4#116FT rate#31741.4
9.7#208Block%#11710.5
52.6#174Assist%#12150.3
49.4#2722P%#19552.0
32.6#2493P%#18534.0
70.3#262FT%—
37.7#2193PA rate#29135.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tennessee St.

Mon, Nov 2NMurray St.97L 64–94
Fri, Mar 20NIowa St.6L 74–108
Sat, Mar 7NMorehead St.329W 93–67
Fri, Mar 6NTennessee Martin312W 68–55
Sat, Feb 28ATennessee Martin312W 67–42

Florida A&M

Fri, Mar 13NSouthern293L 70–73
Wed, Mar 11NJackson St.314W 70–60
Thu, Mar 5HBethune Cookman200W 81–77
Sat, Feb 28AGrambling St.326W 66–59
Thu, Feb 26ASouthern293W 82–71