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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Grambling St. · #326 · SWAC · 1–0Tennessee St. · #204 · OVC · 0–1Fri, Dec 4 · 6:00 PM ETESPNUCareFirst Arena · Washington, DC
Model line
Tennessee St. −6.9
Win probability
Tennessee St. 77%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
23%Win probability77%

The model makes Tennessee St. a 6.9-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Grambling St. offense vs Tennessee St. defense

Grambling St. OStatTennessee St. D
69.4#120Tempo#6270.8
48.8#295eFG%#19351.6
21.2#357TOV%#2919.8
30.3#188ORB%#18730.6
41.1#47FT rate#31741.4
13.1#356Block%#11710.5
51.6#199Assist%#12150.3
48.9#2852P%#19552.0
32.3#2653P%#18534.0
72.9#172FT%—
38.1#2103PA rate#29135.9

Tennessee St. offense vs Grambling St. defense

Tennessee St. OStatGrambling St. D
70.8#62Tempo#12069.4
50.0#236eFG%#9650.0
16.7#180TOV%#1220.8
34.8#53ORB%#28232.5
33.4#227FT rate#30140.0
7.7#43Block%#2907.5
45.5#327Assist%#18652.6
50.0#2552P%#11850.5
33.3#2133P%#9732.7
76.0#52FT%—
30.7#3453PA rate#31235.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Grambling St.

Mon, Nov 2NNorthern Illinois278W 89–87
Tue, Mar 10NJackson St.314L 65–68
Mon, Mar 9NMississippi Valley St.365W 77–52
Thu, Mar 5AAlabama St.295W 65–63
Tue, Mar 3AAlabama A&M313L 63–77

Tennessee St.

Mon, Nov 2NMurray St.97L 64–94
Fri, Mar 20NIowa St.6L 74–108
Sat, Mar 7NMorehead St.329W 93–67
Fri, Mar 6NTennessee Martin312W 68–55
Sat, Feb 28ATennessee Martin312W 67–42