Model line
Tennessee St. −6.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Tennessee St. a 6.9-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Grambling St. O | Stat | Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#120 | Tempo | #6270.8 |
| 48.8#295 | eFG% | #19351.6 |
| 21.2#357 | TOV% | #2919.8 |
| 30.3#188 | ORB% | #18730.6 |
| 41.1#47 | FT rate | #31741.4 |
| 13.1#356 | Block% | #11710.5 |
| 51.6#199 | Assist% | #12150.3 |
| 48.9#285 | 2P% | #19552.0 |
| 32.3#265 | 3P% | #18534.0 |
| 72.9#172 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#210 | 3PA rate | #29135.9 |
| Tennessee St. O | Stat | Grambling St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#62 | Tempo | #12069.4 |
| 50.0#236 | eFG% | #9650.0 |
| 16.7#180 | TOV% | #1220.8 |
| 34.8#53 | ORB% | #28232.5 |
| 33.4#227 | FT rate | #30140.0 |
| 7.7#43 | Block% | #2907.5 |
| 45.5#327 | Assist% | #18652.6 |
| 50.0#255 | 2P% | #11850.5 |
| 33.3#213 | 3P% | #9732.7 |
| 76.0#52 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#345 | 3PA rate | #31235.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Northern Illinois278 | W 89–87 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jackson St.314 | L 65–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 77–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 65–63 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama A&M313 | L 63–77 |
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Murray St.97 | L 64–94 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Morehead St.329 | W 93–67 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee Martin312 | W 68–55 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–42 |