Model line
Southeast Missouri −3.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Southeast Missouri 63%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Western Illinois home
63%Win probability37%
The model makes Southeast Missouri a 3.1-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southeast Missouri offense vs Western Illinois defense
| Southeast Missouri O | Stat | Western Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.9#98 | Tempo | #23367.3 |
| 49.8#247 | eFG% | #30654.2 |
| 16.9#196 | TOV% | #30114.9 |
| 29.6#219 | ORB% | #33534.8 |
| 38.8#84 | FT rate | #17334.8 |
| 9.5#190 | Block% | #3555.2 |
| 45.7#326 | Assist% | #11249.9 |
| 51.8#176 | 2P% | #30354.6 |
| 30.9#323 | 3P% | #29135.6 |
| 69.5#283 | FT% | — |
| 36.0#250 | 3PA rate | #32534.6 |
Western Illinois offense vs Southeast Missouri defense
| Western Illinois O | Stat | Southeast Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#233 | Tempo | #9869.9 |
| 44.5#361 | eFG% | #6148.8 |
| 17.5#240 | TOV% | #9418.1 |
| 27.0#297 | ORB% | #7628.2 |
| 37.7#111 | FT rate | #36148.0 |
| 11.1#311 | Block% | #1469.9 |
| 37.0#365 | Assist% | #1443.9 |
| 43.5#361 | 2P% | #4848.4 |
| 30.9#324 | 3P% | #13033.1 |
| 66.2#352 | FT% | — |
| 33.3#312 | 3PA rate | #34433.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southeast Missouri
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Morehead St.329 | L 61–66 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Lindenwood303 | W 68–66 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 89–73 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 71–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Little Rock219 | W 70–65 |
Western Illinois
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lindenwood303 | L 69–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 47–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 59–81 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 70–77 |
| Thu, Feb 12 | H | Little Rock219 | L 58–77 |
