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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tennessee St. · #204 · OVC · 0–1Southeast Missouri · #266 · OVC · 0–0Sat, Jan 23 · 4:30 PM ETShow Me Center · Cape Girardeau, MO
Model line
Southeast Missouri −4.4
Win probability
Southeast Missouri 68%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Southeast Missouri home
32%Win probability68%

The model makes Southeast Missouri a 4.4-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tennessee St. offense vs Southeast Missouri defense

Tennessee St. OStatSoutheast Missouri D
70.8#62Tempo#9869.9
50.0#236eFG%#6148.8
16.7#180TOV%#9418.1
34.8#53ORB%#7628.2
33.4#227FT rate#36148.0
7.7#43Block%#1469.9
45.5#327Assist%#1443.9
50.0#2552P%#4848.4
33.3#2133P%#13033.1
76.0#52FT%—
30.7#3453PA rate#34433.2

Southeast Missouri offense vs Tennessee St. defense

Southeast Missouri OStatTennessee St. D
69.9#98Tempo#6270.8
49.8#247eFG%#19351.6
16.9#196TOV%#2919.8
29.6#219ORB%#18730.6
38.8#84FT rate#31741.4
9.5#190Block%#11710.5
45.7#326Assist%#12150.3
51.8#1762P%#19552.0
30.9#3233P%#18534.0
69.5#283FT%—
36.0#2503PA rate#29135.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tennessee St.

Mon, Nov 2NMurray St.97L 64–94
Fri, Mar 20NIowa St.6L 74–108
Sat, Mar 7NMorehead St.329W 93–67
Fri, Mar 6NTennessee Martin312W 68–55
Sat, Feb 28ATennessee Martin312W 67–42

Southeast Missouri

Fri, Mar 6NMorehead St.329L 61–66
Thu, Mar 5NLindenwood303W 68–66
Sat, Feb 28HTennessee Tech226W 89–73
Thu, Feb 26HTennessee St.204L 71–79
Sat, Feb 21ALittle Rock219W 70–65