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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Morehead St. · #329 · OVC · 0–0Southeast Missouri · #266 · OVC · 0–0Thu, Feb 25 · 8:30 PM ETShow Me Center · Cape Girardeau, MO
Model line
Southeast Missouri −11.0
Win probability
Southeast Missouri 88%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Southeast Missouri home
12%Win probability88%

The model makes Southeast Missouri a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Morehead St. offense vs Southeast Missouri defense

Morehead St. OStatSoutheast Missouri D
66.8#251Tempo#9869.9
49.2#283eFG%#6148.8
18.0#271TOV%#9418.1
35.8#33ORB%#7628.2
37.7#110FT rate#36148.0
9.2#158Block%#1469.9
47.4#296Assist%#1443.9
49.7#2662P%#4848.4
32.0#2803P%#13033.1
74.1#127FT%—
30.5#3493PA rate#34433.2

Southeast Missouri offense vs Morehead St. defense

Southeast Missouri OStatMorehead St. D
69.9#98Tempo#25166.8
49.8#247eFG%#11150.2
16.9#196TOV%#26115.4
29.6#219ORB%#35135.8
38.8#84FT rate#20135.6
9.5#190Block%#2448.3
45.7#326Assist%#24754.8
51.8#1762P%#6749.1
30.9#3233P%#21734.5
69.5#283FT%—
36.0#2503PA rate#20239.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Morehead St.

Sat, Mar 7NTennessee St.204L 67–93
Fri, Mar 6NSoutheast Missouri266W 66–61
Thu, Feb 26ALittle Rock219W 76–70
Tue, Feb 24HSouthern Indiana324W 64–63
Sat, Feb 21AWestern Illinois363W 81–59

Southeast Missouri

Fri, Mar 6NMorehead St.329L 61–66
Thu, Mar 5NLindenwood303W 68–66
Sat, Feb 28HTennessee Tech226W 89–73
Thu, Feb 26HTennessee St.204L 71–79
Sat, Feb 21ALittle Rock219W 70–65