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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tennessee Martin · #302 · OVC · 0–1Morehead St. · #335 · OVC · 0–1Sat, Feb 20 · 4:30 PM ETEllis T. Johnson Arena · Morehead, KY
Model line
Morehead St. −2.5
Win probability
Morehead St. 60%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Morehead St. home
40%Win probability60%

The model makes Morehead St. a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tennessee Martin offense vs Morehead St. defense

Tennessee Martin OStatMorehead St. D
68.2#179Tempo#17468.4
59.8#41eFG%#12350.7
18.8#136TOV%#2418.8
28.6#148ORB%#15133.3
47.0#56FT rate#3821.7
7.1#86Block%#2252.4
58.1#87Assist%#14356.7
50.0#1382P%#10148.8
44.7#273P%#15635.7
61.3#179FT%—
57.6#193PA rate#12640.6

Morehead St. offense vs Tennessee Martin defense

Morehead St. OStatTennessee Martin D
68.4#174Tempo#17968.2
42.2#195eFG%#13151.5
19.0#141TOV%#23210.6
23.1#198ORB%#8827.5
20.7#209FT rate#23769.7
7.7#94Block%#10410.4
52.4#134Assist%#829.0
53.8#1032P%#13252.1
21.9#2073P%#13833.3
75.0#69FT%—
55.2#213PA rate#22727.3

Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tennessee Martin

Mon, Nov 2ATulane171L 98–100
Fri, Mar 6NTennessee St.244L 55–68
Thu, Mar 5NEastern Illinois361W 66–63
Sat, Feb 28HTennessee St.244L 42–67
Thu, Feb 26HTennessee Tech236W 64–49

Morehead St.

Mon, Nov 2AWestern Kentucky110L 58–83
Sat, Mar 7NTennessee St.244L 67–93
Fri, Mar 6NSoutheast Missouri254W 66–61
Thu, Feb 26ALittle Rock222W 76–70
Tue, Feb 24HSouthern Indiana328W 64–63