Model line
Western Illinois −1.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Illinois 55%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Western Illinois home
45%Win probability55%
The model makes Western Illinois a 1.2-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morehead St. offense vs Western Illinois defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | Western Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #23367.3 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #30654.2 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #30114.9 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #33534.8 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #17334.8 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #3555.2 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #11249.9 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #30354.6 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #29135.6 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #32534.6 |
Western Illinois offense vs Morehead St. defense
| Western Illinois O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#233 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 44.5#361 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 17.5#240 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 27.0#297 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 37.7#111 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 11.1#311 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 37.0#365 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 43.5#361 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 30.9#324 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 66.2#352 | FT% | — |
| 33.3#312 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
Western Illinois
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lindenwood303 | L 69–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 47–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 59–81 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 70–77 |
| Thu, Feb 12 | H | Little Rock219 | L 58–77 |
