Model line
Morehead St. −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Morehead St. 65%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Morehead St. home
36%Win probability65%
The model makes Morehead St. a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southeast Missouri offense vs Morehead St. defense
| Southeast Missouri O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.9#98 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 49.8#247 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 16.9#196 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 29.6#219 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 38.8#84 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 9.5#190 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 45.7#326 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 51.8#176 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 30.9#323 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 69.5#283 | FT% | — |
| 36.0#250 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Morehead St. offense vs Southeast Missouri defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | Southeast Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #9869.9 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #6148.8 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #9418.1 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #7628.2 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #36148.0 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #1469.9 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #1443.9 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #4848.4 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #13033.1 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #34433.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southeast Missouri
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Morehead St.329 | L 61–66 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Lindenwood303 | W 68–66 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 89–73 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 71–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Little Rock219 | W 70–65 |
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
