Model line
Tennessee St. −13.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee St. 93%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Tennessee St. home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Tennessee St. a 13.9-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morehead St. offense vs Tennessee St. defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #6270.8 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #19351.6 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #2919.8 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #18730.6 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #31741.4 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #11710.5 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #12150.3 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #19552.0 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #18534.0 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #29135.9 |
Tennessee St. offense vs Morehead St. defense
| Tennessee St. O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#62 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 50.0#236 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 16.7#180 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 34.8#53 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 33.4#227 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 7.7#43 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 45.5#327 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 50.0#255 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 33.3#213 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 76.0#52 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#345 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
Tennessee St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Murray St.97 | L 64–94 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Morehead St.329 | W 93–67 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee Martin312 | W 68–55 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–42 |
