Model line
Tennessee Martin −7.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee Martin 80%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Tennessee Martin home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Tennessee Martin a 7.9-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morehead St. offense vs Tennessee Martin defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | Tennessee Martin D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #29966.0 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #1346.1 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #2420.0 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #25932.0 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #20735.8 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #4612.3 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #21453.4 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #2546.7 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #1030.2 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #18439.5 |
Tennessee Martin offense vs Morehead St. defense
| Tennessee Martin O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#299 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 48.7#298 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 21.4#358 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 37.0#18 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 37.4#120 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 10.9#295 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 56.2#85 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 51.5#194 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 30.3#339 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 67.7#330 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#32 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
Tennessee Martin
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 55–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Eastern Illinois358 | W 66–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 42–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 64–49 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Little Rock219 | L 65–67 |
