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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Lindenwood · #303 · OVC · 0–0Tennessee St. · #204 · OVC · 0–1Thu, Feb 4 · 8:30 PM ETGentry Center · Nashville, TN
Model line
Tennessee St. −11.6
Win probability
Tennessee St. 89%
Projected tempo
73.4
possessions
Site
Tennessee St. home
11%Win probability89%

The model makes Tennessee St. a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Lindenwood offense vs Tennessee St. defense

Lindenwood OStatTennessee St. D
73.0#11Tempo#6270.8
48.0#312eFG%#19351.6
18.7#309TOV%#2919.8
33.2#86ORB%#18730.6
38.6#87FT rate#31741.4
9.5#184Block%#11710.5
49.1#260Assist%#12150.3
49.6#2692P%#19552.0
29.4#3483P%#18534.0
67.4#334FT%—
30.7#3443PA rate#29135.9

Tennessee St. offense vs Lindenwood defense

Tennessee St. OStatLindenwood D
70.8#62Tempo#1173.0
50.0#236eFG%#7249.1
16.7#180TOV%#7918.4
34.8#53ORB%#24531.8
33.4#227FT rate#24937.4
7.7#43Block%#10010.7
45.5#327Assist%#6547.9
50.0#2552P%#7649.4
33.3#2133P%#8432.4
76.0#52FT%—
30.7#3453PA rate#34832.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Lindenwood

Thu, Mar 5NSoutheast Missouri266L 66–68
Wed, Mar 4NLittle Rock219W 72–62
Sat, Feb 28AWestern Illinois363W 91–69
Thu, Feb 26HEastern Illinois358L 67–71
Sat, Feb 21ATennessee Tech226L 57–72

Tennessee St.

Mon, Nov 2NMurray St.97L 64–94
Fri, Mar 20NIowa St.6L 74–108
Sat, Mar 7NMorehead St.329W 93–67
Fri, Mar 6NTennessee Martin312W 68–55
Sat, Feb 28ATennessee Martin312W 67–42