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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Eastern Illinois · #358 · OVC · 0–0Tennessee St. · #204 · OVC · 0–1Thu, Feb 11 · 8:30 PM ETGentry Center · Nashville, TN
Model line
Tennessee St. −17.3
Win probability
Tennessee St. 97%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Tennessee St. home
3%Win probability97%

The model makes Tennessee St. a 17.3-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Eastern Illinois offense vs Tennessee St. defense

Eastern Illinois OStatTennessee St. D
66.2#284Tempo#6270.8
45.7#353eFG%#19351.6
18.6#302TOV%#2919.8
28.2#257ORB%#18730.6
33.5#223FT rate#31741.4
11.7#330Block%#11710.5
48.7#273Assist%#12150.3
44.9#3542P%#19552.0
31.7#2893P%#18534.0
74.4#105FT%—
29.9#3523PA rate#29135.9

Tennessee St. offense vs Eastern Illinois defense

Tennessee St. OStatEastern Illinois D
70.8#62Tempo#28466.2
50.0#236eFG%#14550.8
16.7#180TOV%#3819.3
34.8#53ORB%#34135.2
33.4#227FT rate#18935.3
7.7#43Block%#2178.6
45.5#327Assist%#31758.0
50.0#2552P%#24353.1
33.3#2133P%#5331.7
76.0#52FT%—
30.7#3453PA rate#11941.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Eastern Illinois

Thu, Mar 5NTennessee Martin312L 63–66
Wed, Mar 4NSIU Edwardsville281W 77–71
Sat, Feb 28ASIU Edwardsville281L 50–77
Thu, Feb 26ALindenwood303W 71–67
Sat, Feb 21HSouthern Indiana324L 68–70

Tennessee St.

Mon, Nov 2NMurray St.97L 64–94
Fri, Mar 20NIowa St.6L 74–108
Sat, Mar 7NMorehead St.329W 93–67
Fri, Mar 6NTennessee Martin312W 68–55
Sat, Feb 28ATennessee Martin312W 67–42