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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Air Force · #279 · MWC · 0–0UTEP · #169 · MWC · 0–0Sat, Mar 6 · 4:00 PM ETDon Haskins Center · El Paso, TX
Model line
UTEP −10.8
Win probability
UTEP 87%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
UTEP home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes UTEP a 10.8-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Air Force offense vs UTEP defense

Air Force OStatUTEP D
67.4#226Tempo#30066.0
48.9#290eFG%#18951.5
21.9#361TOV%#10018.0
21.4#360ORB%#29432.8
35.1#173FT rate#32242.0
11.9#336Block%#13210.1
55.9#92Assist%#19252.7
51.1#2082P%#19051.9
30.6#3283P%#18634.0
64.1#364FT%—
41.8#1383PA rate#25337.5

UTEP offense vs Air Force defense

UTEP OStatAir Force D
66.0#300Tempo#22667.4
48.3#309eFG%#35056.4
17.4#233TOV%#27315.1
26.2#318ORB%#21331.3
33.4#228FT rate#22736.6
8.4#96Block%#3166.8
48.0#288Assist%#23054.2
46.5#3442P%#33356.3
33.9#1813P%#35037.6
70.4#260FT%—
40.3#1643PA rate#20638.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Air Force

Wed, Mar 11NNevada77L 45–80
Sat, Mar 7ANevada77L 59–74
Tue, Mar 3HGrand Canyon42L 60–86
Sat, Feb 28AWyoming117L 62–66
Tue, Feb 24HSan Jose St.161L 80–86

UTEP

Sat, Mar 7HJacksonville St.197L 61–64
Thu, Mar 5HKennesaw St.146W 78–71
Sat, Feb 28AWestern Kentucky119L 65–97
Thu, Feb 26AMiddle Tennessee160L 67–77
Sat, Feb 21ANew Mexico St.140L 63–67