Model line
Air Force −0.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Air Force 54%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Air Force home
46%Win probability54%
The model makes Air Force a 0.9-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UTEP offense vs Air Force defense
| UTEP O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#300 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 48.3#309 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 17.4#233 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 26.2#318 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 33.4#228 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 8.4#96 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 48.0#288 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 46.5#344 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 33.9#181 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 70.4#260 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#164 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs UTEP defense
| Air Force O | Stat | UTEP D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #30066.0 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #18951.5 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #10018.0 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #29432.8 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #32242.0 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #13210.1 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #19252.7 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #19051.9 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #18634.0 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #25337.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UTEP
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | L 61–64 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 78–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Western Kentucky119 | L 65–97 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 67–77 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | New Mexico St.140 | L 63–67 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
