Model line
UC Davis −13.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Davis 93%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
UC Davis home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes UC Davis a 13.9-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Idaho St. offense vs UC Davis defense
| Idaho St. O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#244 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 51.8#155 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 17.0#200 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 32.8#93 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 37.9#105 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 8.8#134 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 47.0#303 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 52.9#132 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 33.6#190 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 74.1#125 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#134 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
UC Davis offense vs Idaho St. defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Idaho St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #24467.0 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #31454.5 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #30714.7 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #6527.9 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #26138.0 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #7811.2 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #7448.3 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #32856.1 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #21634.5 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #26037.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Idaho St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Portland St.209 | L 78–85 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Northern Arizona308 | W 73–65 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Sacramento St.174 | L 65–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Weber St.288 | L 73–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Montana St.134 | W 91–76 |
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
