Model line
UC Davis −9.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Davis 85%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
UC Davis home
16%Win probability85%
The model makes UC Davis a 9.6-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Baptist offense vs UC Davis defense
| Cal Baptist O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#222 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 48.3#306 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 17.9#264 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 37.5#13 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 35.9#153 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 9.6#195 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 39.9#362 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 47.4#325 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 33.4#199 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 71.3#229 | FT% | — |
| 32.0#329 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
UC Davis offense vs Cal Baptist defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Cal Baptist D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #22267.5 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #1446.3 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #15017.0 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #4227.2 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #22836.6 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #2977.3 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #2745.5 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #3347.3 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #529.5 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #35831.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Baptist
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kansas8 | L 60–68 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah Valley120 | W 63–61 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah Tech254 | W 86–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Southern Utah246 | W 82–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Abilene Christian242 | W 87–48 |
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
