Model line
UC Davis −6.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Davis 76%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
UC Davis home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes UC Davis a 6.7-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Portland offense vs UC Davis defense
| Portland O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
UC Davis offense vs Portland defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
