Model line
Pacific −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pacific 61%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
61%Win probability39%
The model makes Pacific a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pacific offense vs UC Davis defense
| Pacific O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#306 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 52.2#142 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 20.1#349 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 35.3#42 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 30.5#296 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 10.6#279 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 58.0#56 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 51.3#200 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 35.8#70 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 75.5#66 | FT% | — |
| 35.3#267 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
UC Davis offense vs Pacific defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Pacific D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #30665.8 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #9950.0 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #28115.1 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #925.0 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #22336.3 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #3146.9 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #13250.7 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #5048.5 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #23134.7 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #7642.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pacific
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Seattle115 | W 61–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Francisco165 | L 61–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Washington St.131 | L 70–87 |
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
