Model line
UC Davis −0.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Davis 51%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
49%Win probability51%
The model makes UC Davis a 0.1-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Jacksonville St. offense vs UC Davis defense
| Jacksonville St. O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#304 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 49.7#250 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 17.0#201 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 29.8#208 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 43.1#20 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 9.7#209 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 49.6#251 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 47.4#326 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 35.7#73 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 68.4#314 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#211 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
UC Davis offense vs Jacksonville St. defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Jacksonville St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #30465.8 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #8649.6 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #21216.2 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #6728.0 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #27938.7 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #1679.5 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #15251.3 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #7249.3 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #14033.3 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #7342.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Jacksonville St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | New Mexico St.140 | L 63–68 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UTEP169 | W 64–61 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | New Mexico St.140 | L 75–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Liberty149 | L 78–81 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Delaware258 | W 80–70 |
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
