Model line
UC Davis −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Davis 68%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
32%Win probability68%
The model makes UC Davis a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nebraska Omaha offense vs UC Davis defense
| Nebraska Omaha O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#166 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 52.2#140 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 16.1#147 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 25.5#332 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 34.5#196 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 10.5#274 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 46.9#305 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 53.0#129 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 34.0#171 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 73.2#164 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#148 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
UC Davis offense vs Nebraska Omaha defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Nebraska Omaha D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #16668.6 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #25552.7 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #33114.1 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #9328.7 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #14233.6 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #1919.1 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #21353.4 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #31855.6 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #11432.9 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #2745.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nebraska Omaha
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 50–74 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | South Dakota270 | W 76–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | St. Thomas162 | L 53–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | South Dakota270 | L 72–89 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Oral Roberts261 | W 80–71 |
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
