Model line
UC Davis −13.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Davis 92%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
UC Davis home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes UC Davis a 13.1-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama St. offense vs UC Davis defense
| Alabama St. O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#38 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 47.1#333 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 18.3#286 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 31.9#126 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 34.9#183 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 11.0#299 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 47.6#293 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 46.8#333 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 31.8#285 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 70.5#253 | FT% | — |
| 38.5#200 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
UC Davis offense vs Alabama St. defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Alabama St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #3871.3 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #22252.2 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #6018.7 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #22631.5 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #32742.3 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #8811.0 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #25355.0 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #22752.8 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #19334.2 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #14640.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alcorn St.340 | L 65–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Grambling St.326 | L 63–65 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Southern293 | L 64–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 89–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Florida A&M317 | L 63–76 |
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
