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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC Davis · #188 · MWC · 0–0Sacramento St. · #174 · BW · 0–0Sat, Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ETESPN+Hornet Pavilion · Sacramento, CA
Model line
Sacramento St. −7.9
Win probability
Sacramento St. 80%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Sacramento St. home
20%Win probability80%

The model makes Sacramento St. a 7.9-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC Davis offense vs Sacramento St. defense

UC Davis OStatSacramento St. D
71.3#42Tempo#2272.3
51.8#158eFG%#33155.0
17.9#268TOV%#14617.1
25.2#337ORB%#30633.4
40.5#54FT rate#21636.2
10.3#263Block%#2727.8
59.9#35Assist%#31557.9
51.9#1742P%#34056.8
34.4#1543P%#26035.2
75.3#73FT%—
43.5#1033PA rate#5043.7

Sacramento St. offense vs UC Davis defense

Sacramento St. OStatUC Davis D
72.3#22Tempo#4271.3
47.0#338eFG%#19851.7
14.1#27TOV%#3019.8
25.2#336ORB%#18330.5
41.2#43FT rate#29039.1
8.5#103Block%#2857.6
48.9#268Assist%#16951.9
46.6#3382P%#21852.4
31.9#2843P%#17133.8
78.1#16FT%—
35.6#2573PA rate#23038.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC Davis

Thu, Mar 12NCal St. Fullerton213L 70–82
Wed, Mar 11NUC Santa Barbara101W 79–73
Sat, Mar 7AUC Irvine109L 69–79
Thu, Mar 5ALong Beach St.264W 76–70
Thu, Feb 26HHawaii132L 73–77

Sacramento St.

Sat, Mar 7NIdaho238L 45–68
Mon, Mar 2HIdaho St.327W 83–65
Sat, Feb 28AMontana St.134L 61–82
Thu, Feb 26AMontana228L 73–81
Sat, Feb 21HIdaho238L 80–86