Model line
Sacramento St. −7.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Sacramento St. a 7.9-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| UC Davis O | Stat | Sacramento St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #2272.3 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #33155.0 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #14617.1 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #30633.4 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #21636.2 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #2727.8 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #31557.9 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #34056.8 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #26035.2 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #5043.7 |
| Sacramento St. O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#22 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 47.0#338 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 14.1#27 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 25.2#336 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 41.2#43 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 8.5#103 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 48.9#268 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 46.6#338 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 31.9#284 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 78.1#16 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#257 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho238 | L 45–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Idaho St.327 | W 83–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana St.134 | L 61–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana228 | L 73–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Idaho238 | L 80–86 |