Model line
UC Davis −12.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Davis 91%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
UC Davis home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes UC Davis a 12.8-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs UC Davis defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
UC Davis offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
