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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Air Force · #279 · MWC · 0–0San Jose St. · #161 · MWC · 0–0Sat, Feb 13 · 12:00 AM ETProvident Credit Union Event Center · San Jose, CA
Model line
San Jose St. −11.9
Win probability
San Jose St. 90%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
San Jose St. home
10%Win probability90%

The model makes San Jose St. a 11.9-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Air Force offense vs San Jose St. defense

Air Force OStatSan Jose St. D
67.4#226Tempo#30765.8
48.9#290eFG%#35957.1
21.9#361TOV%#12717.4
21.4#360ORB%#35436.5
35.1#173FT rate#19035.3
11.9#336Block%#3346.4
55.9#92Assist%#30957.7
51.1#2082P%#36159.1
30.6#3283P%#30436.0
64.1#364FT%—
41.8#1383PA rate#19039.3

San Jose St. offense vs Air Force defense

San Jose St. OStatAir Force D
65.8#307Tempo#22667.4
49.7#253eFG%#35056.4
15.1#71TOV%#27315.1
29.3#226ORB%#21331.3
33.4#225FT rate#22736.6
8.3#83Block%#3166.8
42.2#353Assist%#23054.2
47.6#3202P%#33356.3
35.3#1013P%#35037.6
73.8#142FT%—
38.3#2053PA rate#20638.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Air Force

Wed, Mar 11NNevada77L 45–80
Sat, Mar 7ANevada77L 59–74
Tue, Mar 3HGrand Canyon42L 60–86
Sat, Feb 28AWyoming117L 62–66
Tue, Feb 24HSan Jose St.161L 80–86

San Jose St.

Thu, Mar 12NNew Mexico66L 77–93
Wed, Mar 11NBoise St.71W 84–74
Sat, Mar 7HWyoming117L 78–88
Tue, Mar 3AFresno St.180L 68–82
Sat, Feb 28HColorado St.83L 73–85