Model line
UC Davis −6.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Davis 74%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
UC Davis home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes UC Davis a 6.1-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Jose St. offense vs UC Davis defense
| San Jose St. O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#307 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 49.7#253 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 15.1#71 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 29.3#226 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 33.4#225 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 8.3#83 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 42.2#353 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 47.6#320 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 35.3#101 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 73.8#142 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#205 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
UC Davis offense vs San Jose St. defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | San Jose St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #30765.8 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #35957.1 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #12717.4 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #35436.5 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #19035.3 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #3346.4 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #30957.7 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #36159.1 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #30436.0 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #19039.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Jose St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | New Mexico66 | L 77–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Boise St.71 | W 84–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Wyoming117 | L 78–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Fresno St.180 | L 68–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Colorado St.83 | L 73–85 |
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
