Model line
Air Force −0.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Air Force 53%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Air Force home
47%Win probability53%
The model makes Air Force a 0.8-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Jose St. offense vs Air Force defense
| San Jose St. O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#307 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 49.7#253 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 15.1#71 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 29.3#226 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 33.4#225 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 8.3#83 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 42.2#353 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 47.6#320 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 35.3#101 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 73.8#142 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#205 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs San Jose St. defense
| Air Force O | Stat | San Jose St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #30765.8 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #35957.1 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #12717.4 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #35436.5 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #19035.3 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #3346.4 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #30957.7 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #36159.1 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #30436.0 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #19039.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Jose St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | New Mexico66 | L 77–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Boise St.71 | W 84–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Wyoming117 | L 78–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Fresno St.180 | L 68–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Colorado St.83 | L 73–85 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
