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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC San Diego · #102 · BW · 0–0San Jose St. · #161 · MWC · 0–0Tue, Dec 22 · 7:30 PM ETProvident Credit Union Event Center · San Jose, CA
Model line
San Jose St. −1.6
Win probability
San Jose St. 57%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
San Jose St. home
43%Win probability57%

The model makes San Jose St. a 1.6-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC San Diego offense vs San Jose St. defense

UC San Diego OStatSan Jose St. D
69.7#108Tempo#30765.8
52.6#123eFG%#35957.1
16.5#168TOV%#12717.4
26.1#321ORB%#35436.5
31.2#278FT rate#19035.3
10.2#257Block%#3346.4
55.5#102Assist%#30957.7
55.0#592P%#36159.1
32.8#2413P%#30436.0
69.3#291FT%—
42.3#1303PA rate#19039.3

San Jose St. offense vs UC San Diego defense

San Jose St. OStatUC San Diego D
65.8#307Tempo#10869.7
49.7#253eFG%#4848.4
15.1#71TOV%#16916.8
29.3#226ORB%#3927.0
33.4#225FT rate#5029.3
8.3#83Block%#2867.6
42.2#353Assist%#29956.9
47.6#3202P%#7549.3
35.3#1013P%#5031.5
73.8#142FT%—
38.3#2053PA rate#4843.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC San Diego

Thu, Mar 12NCal St. Northridge190L 70–80
Wed, Mar 11NCal Poly159W 72–69
Sat, Mar 7AUC Santa Barbara101W 64–63
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Fullerton213L 71–75
Sat, Feb 28HCal Poly159W 80–64

San Jose St.

Thu, Mar 12NNew Mexico66L 77–93
Wed, Mar 11NBoise St.71W 84–74
Sat, Mar 7HWyoming117L 78–88
Tue, Mar 3AFresno St.180L 68–82
Sat, Feb 28HColorado St.83L 73–85