Model line
Stanford −10.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Stanford 87%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Stanford home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Stanford a 10.5-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Jose St. offense vs Stanford defense
| San Jose St. O | Stat | Stanford D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.3#55 | Tempo | #22264.5 |
| 67.9#7 | eFG% | #8446.3 |
| 28.3#230 | TOV% | #8620.1 |
| 50.0#11 | ORB% | #19139.4 |
| 39.3#99 | FT rate | #14138.9 |
| 6.7#77 | Block% | #11010.3 |
| 72.7#21 | Assist% | #1030.4 |
| 76.7#4 | 2P% | #9748.7 |
| 38.5#61 | 3P% | #7626.7 |
| 86.4#18 | FT% | — |
| 46.4#73 | 3PA rate | #22427.8 |
Stanford offense vs San Jose St. defense
| Stanford O | Stat | San Jose St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#222 | Tempo | #5574.3 |
| 59.8#40 | eFG% | #14352.4 |
| 18.6#132 | TOV% | #10718.8 |
| 24.0#190 | ORB% | #4423.1 |
| 33.3#142 | FT rate | #3320.6 |
| 6.5#76 | Block% | #2023.4 |
| 53.6#125 | Assist% | #16559.3 |
| 74.2#6 | 2P% | #12851.7 |
| 25.0#184 | 3P% | #14935.3 |
| 76.5#58 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#141 | 3PA rate | #2854.0 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Jose St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | UTSA282 | W 95–74 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | New Mexico43 | L 77–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Boise St.74 | W 84–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Wyoming119 | L 78–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Fresno St.182 | L 68–82 |
Stanford
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Eastern Washington165 | W 74–65 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | West Virginia32 | L 77–82 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Pittsburgh67 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NC State51 | W 85–84 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Notre Dame82 | W 86–78 |
