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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Fresno St. · #180 · P12 · 0–0San Jose St. · #161 · MWC · 0–0Wed, Nov 18 · 9:00 PM ETProvident Credit Union Event Center · San Jose, CA
Model line
San Jose St. −8.6
Win probability
San Jose St. 82%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
San Jose St. home
18%Win probability82%

The model makes San Jose St. a 8.6-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Fresno St. offense vs San Jose St. defense

Fresno St. OStatSan Jose St. D
69.4#119Tempo#30765.8
50.6#206eFG%#35957.1
18.1#277TOV%#12717.4
27.9#271ORB%#35436.5
33.8#216FT rate#19035.3
9.8#219Block%#3346.4
49.9#242Assist%#30957.7
52.3#1542P%#36159.1
32.1#2753P%#30436.0
75.1#76FT%—
40.9#1463PA rate#19039.3

San Jose St. offense vs Fresno St. defense

San Jose St. OStatFresno St. D
65.8#307Tempo#11969.4
49.7#253eFG%#18551.5
15.1#71TOV%#8918.2
29.3#226ORB%#18530.6
33.4#225FT rate#3728.6
8.3#83Block%#3236.6
42.2#353Assist%#15851.5
47.6#3202P%#32155.7
35.3#1013P%#2730.7
73.8#142FT%—
38.3#2053PA rate#4744.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Fresno St.

Wed, Mar 11NColorado St.83L 63–67
Sat, Mar 7AGrand Canyon42L 60–85
Tue, Mar 3HSan Jose St.161W 82–68
Sat, Feb 28HBoise St.71L 53–69
Tue, Feb 24AColorado St.83L 70–74

San Jose St.

Thu, Mar 12NNew Mexico66L 77–93
Wed, Mar 11NBoise St.71W 84–74
Sat, Mar 7HWyoming117L 78–88
Tue, Mar 3AFresno St.180L 68–82
Sat, Feb 28HColorado St.83L 73–85