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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Alabama St. · #295 · SWAC · 0–0San Jose St. · #161 · MWC · 0–0Sun, Nov 15 · 9:00 PM ETProvident Credit Union Event Center · San Jose, CA
Model line
San Jose St. −13.9
Win probability
San Jose St. 93%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
San Jose St. home
7%Win probability93%

The model makes San Jose St. a 13.9-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Alabama St. offense vs San Jose St. defense

Alabama St. OStatSan Jose St. D
71.3#38Tempo#30765.8
47.1#333eFG%#35957.1
18.3#286TOV%#12717.4
31.9#126ORB%#35436.5
34.9#183FT rate#19035.3
11.0#299Block%#3346.4
47.6#293Assist%#30957.7
46.8#3332P%#36159.1
31.8#2853P%#30436.0
70.5#253FT%—
38.5#2003PA rate#19039.3

San Jose St. offense vs Alabama St. defense

San Jose St. OStatAlabama St. D
65.8#307Tempo#3871.3
49.7#253eFG%#22252.2
15.1#71TOV%#6018.7
29.3#226ORB%#22631.5
33.4#225FT rate#32742.3
8.3#83Block%#8811.0
42.2#353Assist%#25355.0
47.6#3202P%#22752.8
35.3#1013P%#19334.2
73.8#142FT%—
38.3#2053PA rate#14640.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Alabama St.

Mon, Mar 9NAlcorn St.340L 65–77
Thu, Mar 5HGrambling St.326L 63–65
Tue, Mar 3HSouthern293L 64–71
Sat, Feb 28AAlabama A&M313W 89–88
Sat, Feb 21AFlorida A&M317L 63–76

San Jose St.

Thu, Mar 12NNew Mexico66L 77–93
Wed, Mar 11NBoise St.71W 84–74
Sat, Mar 7HWyoming117L 78–88
Tue, Mar 3AFresno St.180L 68–82
Sat, Feb 28HColorado St.83L 73–85