Model line
San Jose St. −10.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes San Jose St. a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| UC Riverside O | Stat | San Jose St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #30765.8 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #35957.1 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #12717.4 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #35436.5 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #19035.3 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #3346.4 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #30957.7 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #36159.1 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #30436.0 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #19039.3 |
| San Jose St. O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#307 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 49.7#253 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 15.1#71 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 29.3#226 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 33.4#225 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 8.3#83 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 42.2#353 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 47.6#320 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 35.3#101 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 73.8#142 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#205 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | New Mexico66 | L 77–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Boise St.71 | W 84–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Wyoming117 | L 78–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Fresno St.180 | L 68–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Colorado St.83 | L 73–85 |