HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC Riverside · #223 · BW · 0–0San Jose St. · #161 · MWC · 0–0Thu, Nov 12 · 10:00 PM ETProvident Credit Union Event Center · San Jose, CA
Model line
San Jose St. −10.6
Win probability
San Jose St. 87%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
San Jose St. home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes San Jose St. a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC Riverside offense vs San Jose St. defense

UC Riverside OStatSan Jose St. D
71.1#51Tempo#30765.8
48.9#293eFG%#35957.1
19.0#322TOV%#12717.4
27.8#275ORB%#35436.5
35.0#182FT rate#19035.3
8.6#116Block%#3346.4
49.7#248Assist%#30957.7
49.9#2592P%#36159.1
31.6#3043P%#30436.0
74.2#123FT%—
38.3#2063PA rate#19039.3

San Jose St. offense vs UC Riverside defense

San Jose St. OStatUC Riverside D
65.8#307Tempo#5171.1
49.7#253eFG%#25752.7
15.1#71TOV%#25315.5
29.3#226ORB%#16130.0
33.4#225FT rate#31140.9
8.3#83Block%#13110.1
42.2#353Assist%#13350.7
47.6#3202P%#27053.8
35.3#1013P%#15833.5
73.8#142FT%—
38.3#2053PA rate#35731.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC Riverside

Thu, Mar 5AHawaii132L 74–93
Sat, Feb 28HCal St. Northridge190W 95–84
Thu, Feb 26AUC Santa Barbara101L 59–70
Sat, Feb 21HUC Davis188L 73–78
Thu, Feb 19HCal St. Bakersfield286W 93–65

San Jose St.

Thu, Mar 12NNew Mexico66L 77–93
Wed, Mar 11NBoise St.71W 84–74
Sat, Mar 7HWyoming117L 78–88
Tue, Mar 3AFresno St.180L 68–82
Sat, Feb 28HColorado St.83L 73–85