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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UTSA · #245 · Amer · 0–0San Jose St. · #161 · MWC · 0–0Mon, Nov 2 · 3:00 PM ETMW+Provident Credit Union Event Center · San Jose, CA
Model line
San Jose St. −13.3
Win probability
San Jose St. 92%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
San Jose St. home
8%Win probability92%

The model makes San Jose St. a 13.3-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UTSA offense vs San Jose St. defense

UTSA OStatSan Jose St. D
69.6#112Tempo#30765.8
44.8#360eFG%#35957.1
17.5#238TOV%#12717.4
30.2#193ORB%#35436.5
29.5#321FT rate#19035.3
13.1#358Block%#3346.4
42.8#351Assist%#30957.7
45.5#3532P%#36159.1
29.2#3513P%#30436.0
69.8#276FT%—
41.3#1443PA rate#19039.3

San Jose St. offense vs UTSA defense

San Jose St. OStatUTSA D
65.8#307Tempo#11269.6
49.7#253eFG%#27853.3
15.1#71TOV%#31214.7
29.3#226ORB%#36338.7
33.4#225FT rate#13633.3
8.3#83Block%#5411.9
42.2#353Assist%#28156.0
47.6#3202P%#27153.8
35.3#1013P%#25335.1
73.8#142FT%—
38.3#2053PA rate#5943.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UTSA

Sun, Mar 8ARice235L 71–80
Sun, Mar 1HWichita St.80L 67–84
Wed, Feb 25HEast Carolina185L 81–82
Sun, Feb 22ATulsa104L 74–100
Wed, Feb 18HFlorida Atlantic118L 52–60

San Jose St.

Thu, Mar 12NNew Mexico66L 77–93
Wed, Mar 11NBoise St.71W 84–74
Sat, Mar 7HWyoming117L 78–88
Tue, Mar 3AFresno St.180L 68–82
Sat, Feb 28HColorado St.83L 73–85