Model line
Nevada −20.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 99%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Nevada home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Nevada a 20.9-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota St. offense vs Nevada defense
| South Dakota St. O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#203 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 52.0#148 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 16.1#148 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 30.3#190 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 29.7#319 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 7.8#48 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 51.3#209 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 52.7#143 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 34.0#175 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 72.0#208 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#193 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Nevada offense vs South Dakota St. defense
| Nevada O | Stat | South Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #20367.9 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #20351.8 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #32214.5 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #1125.1 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #16334.5 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #3077.1 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #19152.7 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #21752.4 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #18934.1 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #1347.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | St. Thomas162 | L 67–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | South Dakota270 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Kansas City292 | W 73–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Dakota328 | W 91–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | North Dakota St.170 | L 66–74 |
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
