Model line
Nevada −0.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 51%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
49%Win probability51%
The model makes Nevada a 0.2-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Colorado St. offense vs Nevada defense
| Colorado St. O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#346 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 57.5#12 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 18.5#297 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 30.0#198 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 39.4#71 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 9.0#142 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 62.9#11 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 57.1#29 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 38.6#11 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 77.0#33 | FT% | — |
| 49.1#19 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Nevada offense vs Colorado St. defense
| Nevada O | Stat | Colorado St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #34664.4 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #26152.9 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #24915.5 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #12329.3 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #15534.2 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #3186.8 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #4346.6 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #28154.1 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #19634.2 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #7043.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Colorado St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 64–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Fresno St.180 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Boise St.71 | L 67–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | New Mexico66 | W 82–74 |
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
