Model line
Nevada −18.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Nevada a 18.1-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Sam Houston St. O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#73 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 52.5#126 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 16.8#186 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 35.9#28 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 34.4#200 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 8.4#95 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 52.6#176 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 50.6#231 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 37.2#24 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 71.6#219 | FT% | — |
| 35.8#253 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
| Nevada O | Stat | Sam Houston St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #7370.6 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #17951.4 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #22116.1 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #16530.1 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #22936.7 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #2847.6 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #12350.4 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #24953.3 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #8832.5 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #10041.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | New Mexico66 | L 83–107 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 73–79 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | New Mexico St.140 | W 69–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Liberty149 | L 72–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Delaware258 | L 80–83 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |