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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Pacific · #141 · WCC · 0–0Nevada · #77 · MWC · 0–0Wed, Dec 2 · 10:00 PM ETLawlor Events Center · Reno, NV
Model line
Nevada −13.7
Win probability
Nevada 93%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Nevada home
7%Win probability93%

The model makes Nevada a 13.7-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Pacific offense vs Nevada defense

Pacific OStatNevada D
65.8#306Tempo#25266.8
52.2#142eFG%#16051.0
20.1#349TOV%#13517.2
35.3#42ORB%#2926.7
30.5#296FT rate#29339.4
10.6#279Block%#5311.9
58.0#56Assist%#26455.4
51.3#2002P%#14951.1
35.8#703P%#18234.0
75.5#66FT%—
35.3#2673PA rate#8842.4

Nevada offense vs Pacific defense

Nevada OStatPacific D
66.8#252Tempo#30665.8
49.9#240eFG%#9950.0
14.7#50TOV%#28115.1
32.2#117ORB%#925.0
45.1#6FT rate#22336.3
9.5#186Block%#3146.9
57.5#63Assist%#13250.7
48.1#3062P%#5048.5
35.8#693P%#23134.7
75.8#57FT%—
32.2#3263PA rate#7642.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Pacific

Sun, Mar 8NSanta Clara86L 68–76
Sat, Mar 7NSeattle115W 61–58
Sat, Feb 28HSan Francisco165L 61–72
Sat, Feb 21AGonzaga17L 62–71
Wed, Feb 18AWashington St.131L 70–87

Nevada

Wed, Mar 25AAuburn27L 69–75
Sat, Mar 21HLiberty149W 73–63
Wed, Mar 18HMurray St.97W 89–75
Fri, Mar 13NUtah St.56L 66–79
Thu, Mar 12NGrand Canyon42W 84–80