Model line
Nevada −0.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 53%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
53%Win probability47%
The model makes Nevada a 0.6-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nevada offense vs Santa Clara defense
| Nevada O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs Nevada defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
