Model line
Nevada −7.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 80%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
80%Win probability20%
The model makes Nevada a 7.9-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nevada offense vs San Francisco defense
| Nevada O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs Nevada defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
