Model line
Nevada −19.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 98%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Nevada home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Nevada a 19.9-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Idaho offense vs Nevada defense
| Idaho O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#142 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 51.4#178 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 15.0#60 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 28.4#248 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 34.6#194 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 9.0#143 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 44.6#340 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 51.6#188 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 34.1#169 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 72.6#180 | FT% | — |
| 47.0#33 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Nevada offense vs Idaho defense
| Nevada O | Stat | Idaho D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #14269.1 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #12650.5 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #27715.1 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #524.2 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #27338.5 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #3316.4 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #2445.1 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #7149.3 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #25835.2 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #30635.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Idaho
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Houston4 | L 47–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Montana228 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Eastern Washington156 | W 81–68 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Montana St.134 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Sacramento St.174 | W 68–45 |
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
