Model line
Nevada −10.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 87%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Nevada home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Nevada a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Utah Valley offense vs Nevada defense
| Utah Valley O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#124 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 54.9#44 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 20.1#350 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 34.8#54 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 38.2#98 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 8.1#69 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 62.1#17 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 56.9#33 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 34.0#176 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 68.6#309 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#317 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Nevada offense vs Utah Valley defense
| Nevada O | Stat | Utah Valley D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #12469.4 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #8249.4 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #921.3 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #22531.4 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #29139.2 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #1813.7 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #18452.5 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #4047.7 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #26235.2 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #34333.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Utah Valley
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | George Washington103 | L 78–79 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cal Baptist216 | L 61–63 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UT Arlington232 | W 67–65 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Utah Tech254 | W 104–101 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Southern Utah246 | W 92–88 |
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
