Model line
UC Santa Barbara −4.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 68%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
UC Santa Barbara home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 4.4-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nevada offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| Nevada O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
UC Santa Barbara offense vs Nevada defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
