Model line
Saint Mary's −0.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 51%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
51%Win probability49%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 0.1-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Mary's offense vs Nevada defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Nevada offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Nevada O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
